𝐇𝐲𝐩𝐨𝐜𝐫𝐢𝐬𝐲 𝐨𝐟 𝐒𝐢𝐬𝐢 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭’𝐬 𝐌𝐚𝐧𝐭𝐫𝐚 𝐨𝐟 𝐄𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐔𝐧𝐢𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐥𝐢𝐬𝐦 !
Why does Egypt like to beat a dead horse?

The Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) is completed and fully operational. It is a done deal. It is irreversible. It is fait accompli.

Are Egyptian leaders staging a dog and pony show at  the UN Security Council to show their people they are still in the fight for Egypt’s colonial privileges?

From the day the construction of GERD was announced, Egyptian leaders have been moaning and groaning about how Ethiopia is “acting UNILATERALLY and against international law.”

𝐈𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐞𝐝, 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐢𝐫𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐩𝐡 𝐨𝐟 𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐒𝐞𝐩𝐭𝐞𝐦𝐛𝐞𝐫 𝟗, 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟓 Letter to the Security Council condemning Ethiopia, Egyptian foreign minister Badr Abdelatty announced, “I am writing once again with regard to the so-called Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD), 𝐚 𝐛𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐜𝐚𝐬𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐥 𝐄𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐚𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐭𝐞𝐬 𝐚 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐮𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐯𝐢𝐨𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐨𝐟 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐥𝐚𝐰.”

𝐈𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐚𝐦𝐞 𝐥𝐞𝐭𝐭𝐞𝐫, 𝐀𝐛𝐝𝐞𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐲 𝐮𝐬𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐰𝐨𝐫𝐝 “𝐮𝐧𝐢𝐥𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐥” 𝟗 𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐚𝐜𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐞 𝐄𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐚 𝐨𝐟 𝐚𝐥𝐥 𝐭𝐲𝐩𝐞𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐰𝐫𝐨𝐧𝐠𝐝𝐨𝐢𝐧𝐠.

Abdelatty concluded by arguing, “The purported completion of this unlawful project, through unilateral actions and fait accompli, in no way renders it lawful, nor legitimizes any future unilateral action by Ethiopia on the Blue Nile.

Available here: https://shorturl.at/ZtJZc

The old proverb is true, “When you point a finger at someone, three fingers are pointing back at you.”

𝐈𝐧 𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟐, 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐀𝐛𝐝𝐞𝐥 𝐅𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐚𝐡 𝐚𝐥-𝐒𝐢𝐬𝐢 𝐔𝐍𝐈𝐋𝐀𝐓𝐑𝐀𝐋𝐋𝐘 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐫𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐬𝐪𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐤𝐢𝐥𝐨𝐦𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐋𝐢𝐛𝐲𝐚’𝐬 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐳𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐛𝐲 𝐢𝐬𝐬𝐮𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚 𝐏𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐢𝐝𝐞𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐃𝐞𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐞 𝐍𝐨. 𝟓𝟗𝟓/𝟐𝟎𝟐𝟐.

The Decree UNILATERALLY demarcated Egypt’s maritime border with Libya by drawing arbitrarily drawing a line on  the Egypt-Libya land border in a northerly direction, effectively cutting through the previously signed Turkish-Libyan memorandum on the Exclusive Economic Zone.

Al-Sisi made no effort to consult with Libya nor seek the assistance of the Arab L:eague or the UN Security Council for mediation.

𝐀𝐥-𝐒𝐢𝐬𝐢’𝐬 𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐢𝐭𝐮𝐝𝐞 𝐰𝐚𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐝𝐢𝐟𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐧 𝐉𝐮𝐥𝐢𝐮𝐬 𝐂𝐚𝐞𝐬𝐚𝐫’𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐁𝐚𝐭𝐭𝐥𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐙𝐞𝐥𝐚: ” 𝐈 𝐜𝐚𝐦𝐞, 𝐈 𝐬𝐚𝐰, 𝐈 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐝.” 𝐇𝐞 𝐭𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐭𝐡𝐨𝐮𝐬𝐚𝐧𝐝𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐬𝐪𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐤𝐢𝐥𝐨𝐦𝐞𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐋𝐢𝐛𝐲𝐚𝐧 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐳𝐨𝐧𝐞 𝐛𝐲 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐥𝐢𝐜𝐤 𝐨𝐟 𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐩𝐞𝐧 𝐔𝐍𝐈𝐋𝐀𝐓𝐄𝐑𝐀𝐋𝐋𝐘.

Of course, the Libyan government rejected al-Sisi’s decree as a violation of Libyan sovereignty and territorial integrity and international law.

See here: https://shorturl.at/DWGhm

Yet for the past 14 years, al-Sisi and his predecessors have been accusing Ethiopia of the mortal sin of UNILATERALISM over the Nile.

it is ironic that al-Sisi should complain about Ethiopian UNILATERLAISM when he rips off Libya of its maritime zone like land grabbers of the American Old West.

Indeed, the Comprehensive Framework Agreement (CFA) on the Nile River Basin officially entered into force on October 13, 2024, establishes a multilateral legal and institutional framework for cooperative management, sustainable development, and harmonious utilization of the shared water resources of the Nile Basin. But Egypt and Sudan have refused to sign it.

Available here: https://shorturl.at/zOv10

In 2015, Egypt, Sudan, and Ethiopia signed a ten-point Agreement on the Declaration of Principles (DoP) to address their long-standing dispute over the Nile River’s waters, particularly concerning Ethiopia’s construction of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD). That agreement established foundational principles for cooperation, including equitable and reasonable use of the Nile’s waters, the commitment to avoid causing significant harm to other riparian states, and the peaceful settlement of disputes.

Available here: https://shorturl.at/i33qJ

Unfortunately, Egypt does not want to respect the DoP it willingly signed. She wants to run to Big Daddy Security Council, the Trump administration, the Arab League brothers and the old European colonial masters and beg  them to arm-twist Ethiopia into surrendering its sovereign rights over the Nile.

I have a few basic questions:

1) Why do Egyptian leaders like to run year after year to the UN Security Council to snitch and grovel about Ethiopia?

2) What does Egypt really want from Ethiopia?

3) Does Egypt really believe she can get whatever it is that she wants from Ethiopia by order of the UN security Council or anyone else?

4) Why does Egypt keep knocking on the UN Security Council’s door when the African Union hall is wide open?

5) Are Egyptian leaders living that lala land called Denial-istan?

Egypt first filed a formal Letter complaint with the UN  Security Council over the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) on May 8, 2020. That complaint was filed in response to Ethiopia’s announced plan to begin filling the GERD reservoir, which Egypt viewed as a unilateral action inconsistent with international cooperation principles.

At the time, Egyptian foreign minister Sameh Shoukry (whom I affectionately call “Shameless Sameh”) called Ethiopia “intransigent”, a “threat to international peace”, perpetrator of “distortion and facts”, “obstructionist” and “prevaricator.”

I was amused by Shameless Sameh’s bizarre tongue-lashing of Ethiopia. I laughed it off as “a tale / Told by an idiot, full of sound and fury, / Signifying nothing.”

In my June 2020 commentary, “Why is Egypt Knocking on the U.N. Security Council’s Door When the Africa Union Hall is Wide Open?,” I questioned why Egypt has gone to the Arab League to make its case, pleaded with European governments to pressure Ethiopia and tried to arm-twist Ethiopia using the Trump administration, but never bothered to use the good offices of the African Union.

Available here: https://shorturl.at/BY2kT

I followed up with my June 26, 2020, commentary, “Unilateralism”: Egypt’s New Word to Demonize Ethiopia and Wreck the GERD in the U.N. Security Council” arguing that as Shameless Sameh wags an accusatory finger of unilateralism at Ethiopia, he has conveniently forgotten three fingers of unilateralism fingers were pointing at Egypt, the hegemon of the Nile River for thousands of years.

Available here: https://shorturl.at/KektE

Following the second filling of the GERD on September 15, 2021, Egypt filed another letter of complaint before the Security Council. In response, the Council issued a “presidential statement” encouraging Egypt, Ethiopia, and the Sudan to resume negotiations at the invitation of the Chairperson of the African Union and come to an agreement.

Available here: https://docs.un.org/en/S/PRST/2021/18

At the time, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations, Linda Thomas-Greenfield, told the Security Council, “the African Union is the most appropriate venue to address GERD dispute.”

Ironically, Egypt’s aim in filing a Letter with the Council was to get Ethiopia to the negotiating table, a moot question since Ethiopia has always expressed its readiness to negotiate.

Shoukry called on the Security Council to act arguing, “We do not expect the Security Council to formulate solutions to the outstanding legal and technical issues, 𝐧𝐨𝐫 𝐝𝐨 𝐰𝐞 𝐫𝐞𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐢𝐥 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐦𝐬 𝐨𝐟 𝐚 𝐬𝐞𝐭𝐭𝐥𝐞𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭. 𝐓𝐡𝐢𝐬 𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐨𝐥𝐮𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐢𝐬 𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐜𝐚𝐥 𝐢𝐧 𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐮𝐫𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐩𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐞 … 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐫𝐞-𝐥𝐚𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐡 𝐧𝐞𝐠𝐨𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐬.”

Dr. Sileshi Bekele, Ethiopia’s Minister of Water, Irrigation and Energy, assured the Council an agreement on the operation of the GERD is “within reach” but for the intransigence of Egypt and Sudan.

Between May 2020 and September 2025, Ethiopia has responded to Egyptian complaints before the UNSC no less than 10 times.

See Ethiopia’s Letters to the Security Council of 14 May 2020 (S/2020/409), 22 June 2020 (S/2020/567), 26 June 2020 (S/2020/623), 16 April 2021 (S/2021/376), 23 June 2021 (S/2021/600), 23 February 2022 (S/2022/151), 2 August 2022 (S/2022/598), 18 September 2023 (S/2023/684) and 6 September 2024 (S/2024/659).

𝐄𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐚’𝐬 𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐆𝐄𝐑𝐃 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐮𝐬𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐍𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐰𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐞𝐧 𝐜𝐫𝐲𝐬𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐜𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐫 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐃𝐚𝐲 𝟏.

1) Ethiopia will fill the GERD’s reservoir with special care so that there are no significant  disruptions to downstream flow consistent with international principles of equitable and reasonable use of shared water resources.

2) The GERD is a cornerstone of Ethiopia’s national development and will provide electricity to more than 50 million citizens lacking access to electricity. GERD power will boost rural industrialization, reduce deforestation, and improve education and internet connectivity.

3) The GERD is not a threat to downstream nations but a mechanism to foster regional cooperation and development.

4) The GERD will improve flood control in Sudan and more stable water flows during dry periods to support expanded irrigation in Sudan and Egypt.

5) The GERD is built by Ethiopians without reliance on external financing.

The Comprehensive Framework Agreement (CFA) on the Nile River Basin officially entered into force on October 13, 2024, following South Sudan’s deposit of its instrument of accession to the treaty with the African Union.

The CFA establishes a legal and institutional framework for the cooperative management, sustainable development, and harmonious utilization of the shared water resources of the Nile Basin, with the goal of conserving and protecting the river’s ecosystem for present and future generations.

The CFA is structured on principles of equitable and reasonable utilization, the obligation not to cause significant harm, and the protection and conservation of the Nile river’s ecosystem consistent with UN Watercourses Convention, among others.

Egypt and sidekick Sudan have refused to sign the CFA because the CFA replaces (buries) colonial-era agreements from 1929 and 1959, which granted Egypt and Sudan total control over the Nile’s waters.

I addressed that issue in my March 2020 commentary “The Sleazy Propaganda Conspiracy by the Axis of Lies, Fake News and Disinformation.”

Available here: https://shorturl.at/8i342

There is no way in hell the dead hand of colonial treaties will stretch out from the 19 and 20th century to control use of the Nile in the 21st century. 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭’𝐬 𝐭𝐨𝐭𝐚𝐥 𝐦𝐨𝐧𝐨𝐩𝐨𝐥𝐲 𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐮𝐬𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐍𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐰𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐢𝐬 𝐝𝐞𝐚𝐝, 𝐝𝐞𝐚𝐝, 𝐝𝐞𝐚𝐝!

See here: https://nilebasin.org/about-us/cooperative-framework-agreement

𝐒𝐨, 𝐰𝐞 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐛𝐚𝐜𝐤 𝐭𝐨 𝐬𝐪𝐮𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐨𝐧𝐞.

In a Letter submitted to the Council dated September 9, 2025, Egyptian foreign minister Badr Abdelatty issued an ultimatum: “The purported completion of this unlawful project, through unilateral actions and fait accompli, in no way renders it lawful, nor legitimizes any future unilateral action by Ethiopia on the Blue Nile. Any false assumptions that Egypt might turn a blind eye to its existential interests in the Nile River are mere delusion.” He reiterated the usual litany of false accusations preposterously claiming, “Ethiopia has unilaterally decided to impose a colossal obstacle on the Blue Nile – the principle source of Egypt’s fresh water – dragging negotiations into futility while imposing a fait accompli on the ground.”

Available here: https://shorturl.at/Nvl2y

On September 10, 2025, Ethiopian responded to Egypt’s ho-hum Letter complaint accusing Ethiopia of the same old, same old. Ethiopia’s foreign minister Gideon Timotheos wrote to the Council, “We are confident that the GERD will be the first of many more water development projects in the Nile riparian countries and other water bodies of the African continent.”

Gideon argued, “Egypt has an opportunity to join an arrangement that upholds the rights of all riparian countries to equitable and reasonable utilization as enshrined in the CFA, which entered into force on 13 October 2024. Instead, Egypt is engaged in futile efforts to undermine the CFA and prevent its operationalization. Egypt is repeatedly obstructing the effort to build sustainable cooperation through the equitable and reasonable utilization of the waters of the Nile.”

The million-dollar question: What the hell does Egypt want from Ethiopia and does it expect to get what it wants through the UN Security Council?

For the past five years, Egypt has been pounding the doors at the U.N. Security Council in an attempt to ensure her perpetual hegemony over Nile river waters. But it has not worked!

So, what is the point of going back to the Security Council year after year knowing full well the Council will not and cannot take any action? At best, the Council could promote the establishment of joint water-management bodies, which already exists under the ratified CFA.

𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭 𝐡𝐚𝐬 𝐧𝐨 𝐩𝐫𝐨𝐛𝐥𝐞𝐦𝐬 𝐬𝐚𝐢𝐥𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐧 𝐬𝐞𝐚𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞𝐠 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔.𝐒., 𝐄𝐮𝐫𝐨𝐩𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐀𝐫𝐚𝐛 𝐋𝐞𝐚𝐠𝐮𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐬𝐪𝐮𝐞𝐞𝐳𝐞 𝐄𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐚 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐨 𝐠𝐢𝐯𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐮𝐩 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐬𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐧 𝐫𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐍𝐢𝐥𝐞.

𝐁𝐮𝐭 𝐢𝐭 𝐝𝐨𝐞𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐰𝐚𝐧𝐭 𝐭𝐨 𝐥𝐨𝐨𝐤 𝐡𝐨𝐦𝐞𝐰𝐚𝐫𝐝, 𝐀𝐟𝐫𝐢𝐜𝐚.

The billion-dollar question is why Egypt has consistently avoided using the good offices of the African Union to deal with GERD issues?

Could it be that Egyptian leaders have contempt for the African Union and African leaders?

Could it be that Egyptian leaders feels black Africans will stick together and not give Egypt a fair shake?

Could it be vestigial colonial mentality among Egyptian leaders that makes them believe only their former white colonial masters can solve problems for them?

Could it be that Egyptian leaders consider themselves white and look down on black Africans?

Occam’s razor, a problem-solving principle that suggests the simplest explanation or solution requiring the fewest assumptions should be preferred when multiple competing hypotheses explain the same phenomenon equally well. In other words, the simplest solution is almost always the best.”

𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐬𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐬𝐭 𝐞𝐱𝐩𝐥𝐚𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐭𝐨 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭’𝐬 𝐛𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚 𝐝𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐬𝐞 𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐚𝐠𝐚𝐢𝐧 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐔𝐍 𝐒𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐂𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐢𝐥 𝐢𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭 𝐦𝐮𝐬𝐭 𝐩𝐮𝐭 𝐨𝐧 𝐚 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐩𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭 𝐟𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐍𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐚𝐢𝐧’𝐭 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫. 𝐈𝐭 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐧𝐞𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝐛𝐞 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫. 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐤𝐞𝐞𝐩 𝐨𝐧 𝐟𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐥 𝐊𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐝𝐨𝐦 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐞𝐬. 𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐦𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐚𝐠𝐞 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐧𝐝𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐭𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐢𝐫 𝐩𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞 𝐢𝐬, “𝐘𝐨𝐮 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐝𝐞𝐟𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐥𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐘𝐨𝐮 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐝𝐞𝐟𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭.”  𝐒𝐨, 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐲 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐤𝐞𝐞𝐩 𝐨𝐧 𝐤𝐞𝐞𝐩𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐧.

𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭 𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐫𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐭 𝐜𝐚𝐧 𝐝𝐨 𝐭𝐨 𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐨 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐆𝐄𝐑𝐃 𝐨𝐫 𝐭𝐨 𝐬𝐭𝐨𝐩 𝐄𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐨𝐩𝐢𝐚 𝐟𝐫𝐨𝐦 𝐞𝐱𝐞𝐫𝐜𝐢𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐢𝐭𝐬 𝐬𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐢𝐠𝐧 𝐫𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭𝐬 𝐭𝐨 𝐮𝐬𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐍𝐢𝐥𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐞𝐧𝐭 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐫𝐧𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐥𝐚𝐰. 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭 𝐤𝐧𝐨𝐰𝐬 𝐭𝐡𝐚𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐚𝐧 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐨𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐜𝐨𝐥𝐨𝐧𝐢𝐚𝐥 𝐝𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐦. 𝐈𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐚 𝐟𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭 𝐰𝐢𝐭𝐡 𝐮𝐧𝐛𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐟𝐨𝐞 𝐰𝐡𝐢𝐜𝐡 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐛𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭 𝐧𝐨𝐭𝐡𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐛𝐮𝐭 𝐮𝐧𝐛𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐚𝐛𝐥𝐞 𝐬𝐨𝐫𝐫𝐨𝐰.

The fact of the matter is that Egyptian leaders have NO CHOICE but to keep up their rigmarole with the Security Council because they have to show the Egyptian people they are doing something to recover their lost honor and glory lording over the Nile.

For decades, Egyptian leaders boasted about what they can do to Ethiopia if “one drop of water is taken.”

Egypt has no capacity to take military action against Ethiopia. Egypt is drowning in problems. Its relations with Israel is at an all-time low marked by escalating rhetoric, diplomatic breaches, and military posturing. Recently, President Abdel Fattah al-Sisi publicly declared Israel an “enemy” and accused it of destabilizing regional security. Possibly, a prelude to war between the two historical enemies?

Egypt’s relations with Libya is a hot mess. In 2022, al-Sisi by presidential decree unilaterally ripped off thousands of square kilometers of Libya’s maritime zone. Al-Sisi’s support for Libyan leader General Khalifa Haftar and his Libyan National Army based in eastern Libya has been a key factor in prolonging the Libyan conflict.

Egypt continues to face challenges with terrorists in the North Sinai Peninsula.

Egypt’s lifeline Suez Canal has seen a dramatic 57% drop in revenue in 2024 because of Houthi attacks on the Red Sea shipping disruptions and increased insurance premiums .

The war in Sudan has created a major humanitarian and economic crisis for Egypt, with an estimated 1.2 million Sudanese refugees, placing immense pressure on public services, housing, healthcare, and education systems.

Egypt has high debt payments consuming a projected 65 percent of the government’s annual expenditures for fiscal year 2025/26.

𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐥𝐞𝐚𝐝𝐞𝐫𝐬 𝐡𝐚𝐯𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐮𝐞 𝐭𝐨 𝐛𝐞𝐚𝐭 𝐚 𝐝𝐞𝐚𝐝 𝐡𝐨𝐫𝐬𝐞 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐒𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐂𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐜𝐢𝐥 𝐭𝐨 𝐬𝐡𝐨𝐰 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐄𝐠𝐲𝐩𝐭𝐢𝐚𝐧 𝐩𝐞𝐨𝐩𝐥𝐞 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐲 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐬𝐭𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐢𝐧 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐟𝐢𝐠𝐡𝐭. 𝐈𝐭 𝐚𝐢𝐧’𝐭 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝐮𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐥 𝐢𝐭 𝐢𝐬 𝐨𝐯𝐞𝐫. “𝐘𝐨𝐮 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐧𝐨𝐭 𝐝𝐞𝐟𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐥𝐨𝐬𝐞. 𝐘𝐨𝐮 𝐚𝐫𝐞 𝐝𝐞𝐟𝐞𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐰𝐡𝐞𝐧 𝐲𝐨𝐮 𝐪𝐮𝐢𝐭.”

𝐒𝐨, 𝐭𝐡𝐞𝐲 𝐰𝐢𝐥𝐥 𝐤𝐞𝐞𝐩 𝐨𝐧 𝐤𝐞𝐞𝐩𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐨𝐧.

𝐁𝐮𝐭 𝐆𝐄𝐑𝐃 𝐠𝐚𝐦𝐞 𝐢𝐬 𝐎𝐕𝐄𝐑

𝐋𝐞𝐭 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐝𝐫𝐚𝐦𝐚 𝐜𝐨𝐧𝐭𝐢𝐧𝐮𝐞…

𝐋𝐄𝐒𝐓’𝐒 𝐁𝐔𝐈𝐋𝐃 𝐌𝐎𝐑𝐄 𝐃𝐀𝐌𝐒 𝐀𝐍𝐃 𝐌𝐀𝐊𝐄 𝐄𝐓𝐇𝐈𝐎𝐏𝐈𝐀 𝐆𝐑𝐄𝐀𝐓 𝐀𝐆𝐀𝐈𝐍!